It’s crunch time, Tim Sherwood’s first two games weren’t a success but Villa was up against two solid mid-table sides. Villa should’ve gotten a point against Stoke and Newcastle, but it just wasn’t meant to be. With 3 teams on 22 points it looks likely that either Villa, QPR or Burnley will go down. I strongly believe that Leicester City are already out of it. So having said that, let’s look at our remaining fixtures and make ‘realistic’ predictions and try to remain as objective as possible.
Aston Villa Vs West Brom – Win
Aston Villa Vs West Brom (FA Cup) – Draw
Sunderland Vs Aston Villa – Draw
Aston Villa Vs Swansea – Draw
Total: 5 points.
March was difficult to predict. I predict that Aston Villa will beat West Brom in one of the two fixtures this week. Ideally, I’d like to see 3 points against West Brom more. But if we lose, or draw to West Brom in the League. I expect a response in the FA Cup. Plus, Villa have been playing much better in the Cup rather than the League. The Sunderland game is a tricky one. A draw would be a good result in my opinion, but a win is only possible if Villa have momentum and if Sunderland are on poor form. A draw against Swansea would be a great result, they’re having a great season so far.
Manchester United Vs Aston Villa – Lose
Tottenham Vs Aston Villa – Lose
Aston Villa Vs QPR – Win
Man City Vs Aston Villa – Lose
Total: 3 points
A very difficult month for Villa. I don’t expect Villa to win any of the fixtures against the top sides, but a draw wouldn’t be out of the question. The likelihood of a draw looks possible against Spurs, but I’m only saying that based on Sherwood being our manager. I’m sure he’ll be looking for some kind of redemption. But honestly, I don’t care if we lose three games that month. As long as we beat QPR I’d be happy, that is a massive 6 pointer game and one of those games that would determine relegation for either side.
Aston Villa Vs Everton – Draw
Aston Villa Vs West Ham – Draw
Southampton Vs Aston Villa – Lose
Aston Villa Vs Burnley – Win
Total: 5 points
Very similar to March, Villa could sneak a win against either Everton or West Ham. But as it stands, two draws are most viable. West Ham are having a solid season and have gotten the better of our team in the last few years. Everton aren’t on great form this year so a win could be possible. But again, we have tended to struggle against Everton. Could Villa snatch another surprise victory against Southampton? Well if Southampton are still chasing and in contention of a Champions League spot, I’d say no. But if they’re mathematically out of it, then we could see an uninspired performance by Southampton. The final game of the season against Burnley will see the winner stay up. As we are at home, I think Villa will nick it.
So my ‘realistic’ predictions saw Villa gain a total of 13 points during that period of time, equaling a total of 35 points. Of course, Villa might do better than my predictions or worse, but I reckon fans can expect 12-15 collected points throughout the course of these next 3 months. 35 points does look bleak, but Burnley’s fixtures are freakishly difficult. I’d be surprised if they got more than 10 points by the end of it! QPR have a mediocre fixture list. I calculated a total of 12 points, which is still less than Villa’s. It’s safe to say that QPR are our main rivals for the season. Another team might get dragged into the relegation battle as the weeks go by (Sunderland?) but one of the three teams QPR, Burnley or Villa will still be playing Premier League football next season.