Moraes signed: Shows the press are just guessing

Cutting a bit of a story short, I’m currently sunning my bony butt in Crete for three nights (the equivalent of a booze cruise, only it’s for cigarettes. The money you can save is mad).
Well, I will be tomorrow, as I’ve only just arrived, hence me being a bit late in knowing that Wesley Moraes has actually signed for us

£22 million apparently and that’s a massive sign of intent.
I can’t say I know anything about him, but he sounds decent, having scored 17 goals with numerous assists last season in the Belgian league.
Which is just about what the press know too, as he wasn’t anywhere near on the radar.
It all backs up my previous point about them not having a clue and just guessing, in the hope that if they aim enough darts, one will hit the target.

Anyway, the point is that it proves we are going to spend serious money on certain positions.
And it seems to me that if you take the attempt to sign Butland, coupled with a decent defensive midfielder speculation to be true, we’re looking to add to the backbone of a side.
Which makes extremely good sense.

I think signing Wesley means Tammy Abraham will not be coming back.
Dean Smith prefers one up front and there’s no way I can see Abraham playing second fiddle to another striker.
Much more likely that we’ll sign an older, proven Prem striker as backup, in my opinion; the likes of Gayle.
With Kodjia and Davies in reserve, I’d suggest that’s about as good as it could get, given that we aren’t going to be spending supid amounts of money.

Something else that crosses my mind is that we haven’t spent this money on a gamble and someone has been watching Moraes very, very, closely
You can bet your boots that we have at least another two unknown signings of a similar standard in the spotlight and again, the press won’t have a clue.

This signing has massively encouraged me, as, as I’ve hinted, I think we’d do well to survive with the current squad.
Add some more quality and we’ll have a very good chance of survival.

A final thought is that surely Hogan will be sold, seeing as he has no chance of getting the 40 games he wants?
That one just didn’t work out did it?

Here’s looking forward to the new season.
UTV

98 Comments

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  1. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 June 19, 2019 at 3:55 pm . Reply

    JT signs a new contract extension to 2021 – good news imho.

  2. Holte66
    Holte66 June 19, 2019 at 6:20 pm . Reply

    JT signing a contract extension is as good as any business we will do this summer. Having JT at our club is a big attraction for future signings and his winning mentality will prove vital next season. Let’s hope the announcement of Mings and possibly Tuanzebe is sooner rather than later.

  3. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson June 19, 2019 at 7:14 pm . Reply

    It’s getting better and better, JT on a two year contract beggers believe that, thats killed the media on him moving when Lampard moves on so they say. I’m gearing up for the new season and full of hope that Villa gets back where we belong, top 6 in the premiership.

  4. Singapore Villan
    Singapore Villan June 20, 2019 at 1:29 pm . Reply

    Jed Steer just extends until 2023 … every day new good news

    1. Holte66
      Holte66 June 20, 2019 at 2:17 pm . Reply

      Agreed! The management at the club after 10 years of lunacy finally making good football decisions. Next up…Mings?

  5. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson June 20, 2019 at 2:32 pm . Reply

    Never a true word written Holte, wonder if Deadly turning over thinking they’re spending all the money, why didn’t I do it., what a transformation. Keep it going and join our future Kings team.

  6. Sidforever
    Sidforever June 20, 2019 at 8:54 pm . Reply

    This is an exciting time for our club after the years of depression. Please can anyone enlighten me on the rules of FFP.

    I noted in the press that our owners have put fresh finance into the club through issuing new shares, rather than taking loans out against the club, which Learner did. Is there a limit to the amount of capital that can be pumped into the club using the share issue method, without adding to the club debt?

    I just wonder how much more we can spend?

    I also wonder with season ticket sales being capped at 30,000, virtually full capacity crowds will be present for nearly all matches. This could be the springboard to the ground capacity being extended and the North Stand replaced. This would be brilliant.

    UTV

    1. Hitchens60
      Hitchens60 June 20, 2019 at 9:31 pm . Reply

      Sid – first, I’m no expert on FFP so my comments are taken from general business experience but simply, in theory, there is no limit to the amount of funds that can be provided through acquisition of shares issued and allocated, particularly in a closed company like AVFC which is controlled by Sawiris and Edens. The issue and acquisition of shares creates no debt for the club.

      On the other hand, if owners lend money to the club it increases indebtedness and therefore financial risk. The money has to be repaid (at some point), it has to be secured by assets (the team / the stadium for example) and the debt increases through interest attaching to the loan. My simple understanding of FFP is that it derives from a scenario of owners putting clubs into unmanageable debt (prime example – Portsmouth) and then withdrawing financial support. There are also tax benefits derived from investing through shares rather than debt but that’s another ‘story’!

      By buying up issued (but unallocated) share capital, our owners can provide finance through ‘shareholders funds’. This is not a debt but capital financing which also has the benefit of strengthening the balance sheet. The shareholders take 100% risk in the success of the ‘business’ whilst providing liquidity (cash). The limit they can buy is the number of shares issued but not allocated although the company can issue more shares if the shareholders agree. Of course as more shares are allocated (bought) then their ‘value’ (as against their unit cost) is diluted. The important points here are liquidity – i.e. cash – and that it doesn’t create a debt liability. As more shares are bought by Sawiris / Edens and not matched by Xia so his position is diluted (his ownership percentage reduces).

      To use a simple example – how can Uber continue to make losses and still operate – because they have sufficient money to fund those losses – the majority of which will be in the form of shareholders funds (I.e. shareholders buying shares) – although they will also hold some debt.

      What I don’t understand about FFP is the apparent concentration on aggregate debt without taking into account the ability to fund that debt but I suspect it’s relevant and Purslow knows how to utilise it.

      So, in summary, I don’t think there’s a limit to what we can spend in purely cash terms (only subject to how much our owners are prepared to invest) but I suspect there is one in terms of FFP (losses on the Income & expenditure account in isolation over three years) particularly if you factor in the risk of relegation from the Prem.

      I’m really not sure whether that helps – perhaps OLL has a view?

      1. Originallondonlion
        Originallondonlion June 21, 2019 at 10:37 am . Reply

        That is an excellent summary Hitchens. I could not expand on it.

        What I do not understand, following conflicting punishments, is what FFP restrictions are placed on wealthy people ‘investing in shares’ or ‘simply gifting money’ to their club. Obviously loans or Glazer style swindles are not permitted since indebtedness increases. But – since the principle behind FFP was that success should not be simply bought by spending the largest amounts on a manager players and wages – there should be something to prevent our new owners pumping their own money into the club. Wish I knew how that was being applied, because the cevidence is inconsistent.

  7. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 June 21, 2019 at 7:14 am . Reply

    Reported that Villa in talks with Huddersfield for CB Kongolo for £17.5m. Huddersfield signed two new central defenders (Elphick being one) so this story might have legs.

    If true, does it mean we’ve failed to agree on a fee for Mings?

    1. Bum Bum
      Bum Bum June 21, 2019 at 8:19 am . Reply

      Hope not. Mings fecking ROCKS!!!!!

  8. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 June 21, 2019 at 3:04 pm . Reply

    Also in the notes is confirmation from Purslow that we are compliant with FFP rules for our 18/19 accounts so Steve Gibson’s complaints are so much sour grapes as we suspected. Nonetheless excellent news.

  9. Sidforever
    Sidforever June 21, 2019 at 7:04 pm . Reply

    Badger, Hitchens and DSVilla

    Thank you for providing feedback on FFP.

    I was intrigued by new shares going into balance sheet rather than p&l.

    I naively read this as, we could go and issue unlimited shares, but must have sales revenue being greater than total costs. Therefore, I assume we can go out and buy a number of quality players and as long as their wages and all other costs of running the club do not exceed income + allowable loss within a year, then we are OK?

    If this is the case, things could become very interesting at Villa Park. Next year we will receive £100m+ from being in premier. Plus estimate of 30,000 season tickets at average £400 (including those who buy hospitality) = £12m, + shirt sales no idea etc. Let us assume that our total income is £130m. That’s a lot of player wages that can be absorbed.

    Now for a potential golden goose moment. The number of season tickets we have is phenomenal and puts us in the elite bracket. Could this be the moment where our owner Sawiris comes to the forefront. He has a large share in Adidas. Could he influence them to regards to Villa Are about to kick in a number of levels and secure a large sponsorship? If this is the case, this could be the stepping stone to us being able to challenge the top four. This may well be a pipe dream but it might just have part of the path ournowners I tend to tread.

  10. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 June 21, 2019 at 10:44 pm . Reply

    Forget FFP, forget all the accountancy lingo. We have two extremely wealthy owners and we are in the Prem – the only thing to concern ourselves with is staying there and then the sky’s the limit.

    UTV

    1. DSVilla
      DSVilla June 22, 2019 at 10:57 am . Reply

      Totally agree. If we can pass FFP in the Championship given the losses and sharp drop in income it’s hardly going to bother us in the Prem.

  11. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson June 22, 2019 at 11:18 am . Reply

    Well we’ve contributed to the Villa , just opened my present and its a Luke Aston Villa shirt. Yipeeeeeee.

  12. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson June 22, 2019 at 2:24 pm . Reply

    He’s got it all to do now Badger, he’s been saying twelve months ago he thought times was up. Me, he’s My hero saving them two penalties, made his mark for me and I cannot wait for the start of the season…

    1. Hitchens60
      Hitchens60 June 23, 2019 at 1:03 pm . Reply

      Happy Birthday Bill – let’s hope Mings signs this week – a special present to help you celebrate. UTV

  13. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson June 23, 2019 at 8:19 am . Reply

    Morning all, well I can say it now getting back on the planet, yesterday was my big day 4 score and boy did I get pissed.some geezer said Tuesday we will get the answer on Minns but me thinks we might not be that lucky.utv. …

    1. Pat 57
      Pat 57 June 23, 2019 at 11:32 am . Reply

      Happy birthday Bill. And there was me thinking that I was old 🙂

    2. Pat 57
      Pat 57 June 23, 2019 at 12:52 pm . Reply

      Bill, Just heard that Mings is back from his holidays this morning so hopefully we might see something happen soon

    3. Big Fat Ron
      Big Fat Ron June 23, 2019 at 10:15 pm . Reply

      Happy birthday, Bill! What’s your secret?

      1. Bill Pearson
        Bill Pearson June 24, 2019 at 7:22 am . Reply

        BFR, staying fit, enjoying what you do, and most of all love life..

  14. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson June 23, 2019 at 8:07 pm . Reply

    Yes Pat 57, meeting clubs and hopefully sorted by Tuesday .Thanks Pat never thought I’d reach this age and still be reasonably active in all fields💪👌

  15. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 June 24, 2019 at 7:02 am . Reply

    Seems having wealthy owners, being Villa and achieving promotion equals clubs trying to rip us off in the transfer market. Whilst I’m sure we could pay these ridiculous amounts being banded about (accepting media hype) I don’t think we will nor should we but it does then raise questions over how we add the players we need of the quality we want?

    1. DSVilla
      DSVilla June 24, 2019 at 9:10 am . Reply

      I think we are stuck with this for now Hitch. We have a very short time to get quality in and up and running, to ensure we stay in the Prem. I think we will end up paying these high prices, but the fact that there seems to be alternatives we are looking at in each area may help us get a slightly better deal.
      Going forward we need to look at how clubs like Brugge, Sevilla, Porto etc get such quality at fairly low cost, with substantial sell on value. That’s all down to scouting and contacts I suppose. I expect we may well see more of that once we are established in the division.

  16. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson June 24, 2019 at 7:30 am . Reply

    I’ll go with that Hitch, so what do you do? ,my only thought is if the player loves something so much he makes it quite clear to his boss. Nobody likes a unhappy person, in Minns case he knows Bournemouth will go for extra £, s p its down to him to state the case.

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