Brighton – Villa; An easy away win, right?

I know some of you love stats, so here’s a cracker I found.

Brighton’s last three home wins have all come in different years.
Ok, how’s that work then? I had to ask myself and on reading found this;
The last home win was against Spurs at the end of january just gone.
Previously the only win they got at home in the whole of 2020 was against Arsenal last June.
And the last one before that was against Bournemouth in December 2019.

Perhaps it’s just me but as someone who doesn’t really care much for stats, I find that astounding. One home win in a whole calendar year!

So tomorrow should be easy and it’s a foregone conclusion; We’ll win comfortably.

Squad news and on our part we’re all good.
Only Hause and Wesley are unavailable., which I still find surprising, given the time of year.
Is that indicative of players itching to play, as opposed to wanting to hide or just being wusses, I wonder?
Whatever, it’s good news.

As for Brighton, Adam Webster is a doubt because of an ankle injury as is Davy Propper who had a groin issue.
Both will be assessed late on.

We’re still waiting to really see Sanson, but I don’t see him starting this game.
I think a lot depends on how Dean Smith judged Ross Barkley’s kicking the bottle incident when he was subbed off last time out.
I saw certain opinions, where it was expected that Smith would read the riot act at Barkley.
I don’t subscribe to that at all and if I was Smith, I’d probably have called him in for a chat, explaining how I was sympathetic, explain why I did it and tell him that while I understand, it’s not good to show disagreement in public.
And then tell him he’ll back in for the next game.
Oh and then tell him that if I want to sub him, I will, simple as.
End of story and back to work.

We’ll no doubt see, but I’d be surprised if Barkley has been punished and been dropped.
I just don’t think Smith works like that.
The side showed plenty of energy last time out, so I can’t see him changing it at all.

If Smith is nothing else, he’s very predictable isn’t he?
Find your best eleven and stick with it. it’s certainly worked well up to now, so you can understand it.

I watched parts of Brighton’s game against Leicester and they looked okay to me, but they were away.
Their home record is somewhat weird, but we all know that if a team is doing extremely badly in some area or has had a really bad run, Villa are usually the best possible team to face to end that run.

So while we ought to be able to count our chickens here, I’m banking on nothing.
I’m just really glad we’re not facing Brighton like Spurs were and the home club hadn’t won in over six months.
I think I’d have been betting against us!

As it stands, I think we’ll get something at least.
In what I expect to be another good game (are we involved in any other kind these days?) I’m going for a win.

2-1 to the Villa.

COYL!

59 Comments

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  1. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 8:38 pm . Reply

    We are absolute crap

  2. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 8:39 pm . Reply

    Actually we are worse than crap

  3. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 8:40 pm . Reply

    How are Brighton not ahead?

  4. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 8:47 pm . Reply

    Good job we have Martinez

  5. Adam
    Adam February 13, 2021 at 8:50 pm . Reply

    Well that was as poor a half as I’ve seen. Feels like West Ham all over again. Need to get sanson on for barkley to try and add some energy as all he’s done is give the ball away. Traore too, needs a kick up the arse. Watkins barely had a touch. Grealish getting marked put the game again.

  6. Holte66
    Holte66 February 13, 2021 at 8:52 pm . Reply

    Barkley doesn’t deserve to be on the pitch second half. Grealish has been poor too. A major bollocking is required. No-one providing any support to Watkins. McGinn and Luiz have had to put in a shift defensively because the trio of Grealish, Barkley and Traore are non existent.

  7. Originallondonlion
    Originallondonlion February 13, 2021 at 8:59 pm . Reply

    It doesn’t help when you have a centre half who can only play one ball forward. Konsa has never attempted a pass up the wing to Traoré. If he can’t dump it of to Cash he squares it to Mings. That why Traoré has no service.

    Whole of our left sided attack is completely predictable, so no surprise Brighton’s defence is set up for it.

  8. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 9:18 pm . Reply

    Hope that’s cramp and not a hamstring

  9. DSVilla
    DSVilla February 13, 2021 at 9:20 pm . Reply

    Just awful

  10. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 9:22 pm . Reply

    We’re even worse if that’s possible.

    Once again Smith appears to be devoid of ideas as to how to change things.

  11. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 9:27 pm . Reply

    Appalling performance – worst of the season.

  12. Tom
    Tom February 13, 2021 at 9:28 pm . Reply

    This is pathetic now

  13. Tom
    Tom February 13, 2021 at 9:31 pm . Reply

    All but Martinez been crap tonight. Can believe in wasting my Saturday night in this

  14. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 9:33 pm . Reply

    Barkley off – and not before time

  15. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 9:41 pm . Reply

    Welbeck to score then?

  16. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 February 13, 2021 at 9:49 pm . Reply

    Not just Martinez saying that, I think the whole of the defence is asking what the rest of the team have actually contributed?

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