Villa – Norwich; No excuses for this one. It’s got to be a win

Well, it has, hasn’t it?
Quite simply, we’re facing the poorest team in the league at home.
And as far as I’m concerned, that’s all there is to it. I know this is football and anything can happen, but the fact is we won’t get an easier game all season.
Norwich still have a mathematical chance of staying up, but everybody knows that when you’re ten points adrift of safety at this stage it’s looking incredibly unlikely.
What does this mean for my newly acquired gambling habit then?
Well, I’m not twenty quid confident, but I’m more than a tenner confident, so have gone, er, in the middle.
So the Villa had definitely better win!

Mind you, I’m pretty much saying it should be straightforward, but a glance at the table shows that their current form dwarfs ours. They actually have a win and a draw in their last five games.
Which says it all about our shocking form of a solitary point.

Apparently, there’s going to be some sort of appreciation thing going on for Dean Smith and while I understand the sentiment, I don’t quite understand why we’d go that far. How will Stevie G feel about that?
What’s wrong with the good old fashioned big round of applause, similar to what we give ex-players who have been good servants?
Don’t get me wrong, I liked Dean Smith as one of our own, but this almost seems to me like some kind of admission that we were wrong to call for his head. We weren’t. He had to go because we weren’t progressing in the way we needed too.
I know we’ve gone through similar stuff under the present manager, but the circumstances are totally different. Gerrard hasn’t had anywhere near enough time, as much as things look bleak just now. He will not get much chance next season and a poor run of form then will see him sacked too.

Squad news then and there isn’t much really.
Bertrand Traore is back, but Sanson and Hause are both out. I’m past caring about the Frenchman, I think, because he’s a 100% goner. Hause too, probably, but I see that as a shame. If we do get another centreback in, I hope he can head the ball.

Josh Sargent is on the verge of a return for Norwich after being out with an ankle injury. Lukas Rupp is also back from a knee problem and Kenny McLean has a broken toe, but might play via an injection.
Defender Christoph Zimmermann is out with a hip flexor problem.
I can’t say I’ve heard of any of them, to be honest.

So given that this is the easiest game we have left this season, surely we can expect to see some of the kids can’t we?
Certainly looking at the rest of our games, they’re a lot tougher and any of them would be a baptism of fire for a young inexperienced player to start.

I’m going to guess that if we’re in a good position, the likes of Tim Iroegbunam might get minutes, but I don’t think Gerrard will have the courage to start him.

So we can expect the usual players that have performed so poorly over the last few weeks.
The manager has asked for plenty of agression, but that’s a smokescreen to me. Agression and effort isn’t the problem for me. There’s so much of that on display that we look like headless chickens, running around like idiots and not actually concentrating on anything that involves quality, like passing the ball accurately.
To be honest, it’s this sort of claptrap that actually turns me off this manager, but in his defence, what else is he supposed to say?
I’ve still got it in mind that even a very good player like John McGinn looks like a total clown lately.
That’s worrying.

So what to think?
Well, I’ve gone for the final result to Villa in my bet and it’s just a matter of the score.
I’m going for 2-1, but I’m not really convinced. I just can’t bring myself to say that Norwich will beat us, but I could possibly see a draw, which would be interesting because I think Villa fans’ patience is already wearing thin.

UTV!


Comments

140 responses to “Villa – Norwich; No excuses for this one. It’s got to be a win”

  1. DSVilla avatar
    DSVilla

    If a manager is any good and has ambition they will want to get to the highest level they can. Same as a player.

    If that’s a bad thing I guess we need to look for a manager with no ambition and little ability.

    I’m happy to give Gerrard the benefit of the doubt. We could still be managed by McLeish, Lambert or Bruce ffs

    Let’s see what happens next season.

    1. Big Fat Ron avatar
      Big Fat Ron

      Well said.

  2. Alfie Ricketts avatar
    Alfie Ricketts

    Is Gerrard really a better manager than Smith or can he just attract players to the football club?

    1. Badger123 avatar
      Badger123

      It’s going to take a while to find out Alfie.

      1. Big Fat Ron avatar
        Big Fat Ron

        Pretty sure Smith just got relegated, having made zero progress, Alfie. So I won’t be eating that canary, after all. 😉

  3. Holte avatar

    I don’t dislike Gerrard nor do I like him. We know what is burning ambition is and I agree that to achieve it he will need to succeed at Villa.
    My biggest concern at the moment is our most talented player Buendia IMO being left out for the likes of Bailey or Ings. Coutinho may or may not be a Villa player next season. I guess it depends on whether Newcastle want him and money talks after all. Personally I wouldn’t be too bothered if he goes because he lacks consistency. As for Bailey and Traore we need to get rid. They disappear far too often for international duty or the medical room. We need battlers / leaders in the summer as we are sorely lacking in that area.
    If Gerrard does get us into the top six then he will have done something I currently don’t think is achievable. With Newcastle being the new super power we will be fighting amongst the likes of Chelsea, Manchester United, Spurs, Arsenal, West Ham, Leicester and Wolves to get in the mix. We have excellent owners but I don’t think Gerrard is the man to get us there. I would love him to prove me wrong of course.

    1. Alfie Ricketts avatar
      Alfie Ricketts

      Think people are forgetting the fact that it’s Coutinho that is keeping Buendia out of the starting lineup, and Gerrard is clearly friends with Coutinho and likes him which is 100% contributing to the fact that Buendia is being left out of the team sheet, which can become a massive problem in a football club. Buendia playing like that and getting an assist ( a lucky one but who cares ) is record signing worthy however can he do it for a full 90 or maybe most of the game considering substitions are made. I rate Buendia and will be annoyed if we let him go simply because he’s ‘not Gerrard’s player’ because Coutinho won’t be next season if we finish 15th next season and Newcastle pay more, Buendia is also younger and our record signing, we should really invest our facilities and team into this guy because he is amazing if you’ve seen some of the stuff he’s done this season, however he is a small guy and the physicality can become a problem since Norwich won the physicality battle every position on the pitch yesterday.

  4. Holte avatar

    Alfie, Buendia is small but he certainly doesn’t back out in the physical side of the game.
    The answer to your previous question is yes, Gerrard can attract better players to the club which given the financial backing makes it easier for him to be a better manager than Smith. I still find it strange though that all the best managers are foreign. Is it a cultural thing with British managers? Players can go out and get pissed and take more liberties than say players under Klopp or Pep? Maybe that’s the issue with Grealish at Citeh and he has to act like a grown up before getting regular football under Pep. 🤔

  5. William Pearson avatar
    William Pearson

    Alfie your right Coutinho is keeping Buendia out but at what cost, i.e. age and wages, He has over the past few months wained in his abilities as a first class player and Buendia is younger and very talented up and coming footballer, my concern is Mcginn he’s not showing the player he was a few months ago. Would dropping Mcginn and trying Coutinho and Buendia midfield? ,now’s the time to find out because other clubs will be interested that’s for sure.

    1. Hitchens60 avatar
      Hitchens60

      I think one of the issues with McGinn is that he’s being asked to play a more defensive role in midfield than he played when first joining us and the role he plays for Scotland.

      Against Leicester it was notable that he hardly, if ever, went past the halfway line and with Cash and Young, in particular, staying back more we looked far more compact in defence.

      Although I have been critical of Gerrard, it’s clear he needs to be given time to assemble a team that can produce the type of football he wants to see. It’s also important that Villa don’t revert to changing managers, as well as players, on a regular basis.

      Fans are saying it’s going to be a big, important, summer window this year – but they’ve been saying that for the last two years and look where we are! Apparently the club budgeted on the basis of finishing eighth this season which isn’t going to happen and they also failed to finish to the budgeted position last season. Each budget miss knocks a few million off the expected income stream which the owners want (and have plans) to materially increase.

      It seems to me that the pressure is on Lange and Purslow as much as it’s on Gerrard.

  6. DSVilla avatar
    DSVilla

    Buendia has managed 2 goals and 5 assists in 32 appearances (21 starts)
    Coutinho has managed 4 goals and 3 assists in 14 appearances (13 starts).

    I rate Buendia but would find it hard to argue that he deserves picking over Coutinho. It would be nice if they could play together and maybe in the future they will do again

    Will Coutinho be here next season? I hope he will but I am guessing the club have a pretty good idea. We will see but I don’t see any reason why we have to let Buendia go if Gerrard wants him here.

    Bailey had an impact prior to his injury, and clearly Gerrard wants to see him have a few games before the end of the season to make up his mind whether to stick or twist. His injury record is a big red flag though

    1. Guest avatar

      The stats don’t tell the whole story there, Buendia tracks back a hell of a lot more and works twice as hard, and most of those appearances were as a sub.

      There is no reason both can’t play.

      1. DSVilla avatar
        DSVilla

        Sure they don’t. Just as a striker scoring 30 goals doesn’t make him better than one scoring 15. Just he probably is. Of the two I prefer Buendia, precisely because of his team commitment. Doesn’t mean it will bring the best results.

        As for the stats I listed them and simple maths tells you Coutinho has been more effective in goals/assists and that’s precisely why I noted starts vs sub appearances.

        I don’t pick the team. Gerrard does and I can see why he picks Coutinho over Buendia even though I would probably be tempted the other way.

        I think I suggested that both could play together but I’m no football expert. I also agree that certain other managers would probably have done better. Howe in particular has done a great job. We have Gerrard though. We can sack him and start again or back him and see how it goes. I would go with the latter and that’s obviously going to happen.

        1. Guest avatar

          Hmm. Those stats are still skewed,

          Coutinhos goals and assists came in a period where the team were winning and playing well, since then he’s done nothing, buendias game time in said period was limited to cameo appearances from the bench, I mean we’ll never really know if Buendia would have had the same impact on those games but those stats do not tell the full story.

          1. DSVilla avatar
            DSVilla

            Or the team were winning because of his impact? Buendias had plenty of game time including last season when we generally outperformed this season. He should have had more impact given the opportunities and his talent.

            As you say, maybe Coutinho will move on and I would have mixed feelings about that.

            I would like to see them both here and playing together in the team with a top striker in front of them and proper DM in front of a back 4 with a really dominant CH leader. It’s not much to ask is it?

            I find myself desperate for the season to end (again). So disappointing.

            1. Guest avatar

              Buendia wasn’t with us last season, he was signed at the beginning of this campaign.

              1. Big Fat Ron avatar
                Big Fat Ron

                They can play together, in the same way Grealish and Barkley played together last season. Coutinho plays more advanced in the Grealish role, Buendia slighly deeper in the Barkley role; it can be done. Arguably both better players that last year’s duo. Perhaps, give Ramsay a rest and play Buendia with the same licence to go forward?

              2. DSVilla avatar
                DSVilla

                Yes Guest. Don’t know where that came from but of course he joined this season.

  7. Badger123 avatar
    Badger123

    I think you also have to factor in how long both players are likely to be at the club.
    I think Buendia seems mostly happy and I could see him staying a longish time if we play him.
    I think overall he’s the better bet for the club.
    As for who’s better lately, I really don’t think it’s fair to judge anyone just now.
    As I’ve said, even McGinn looks poor.

    It seems obvious to me our players don’t understand or just can’t play the system Gerrard wants. Which is frankly understandable because I don’t have a clue what we’re trying to do either, tbh.

    Which means a guaranteed clearout.
    I’m not convinced this big turnaround will allow us to sign Coutinho, but we’ll see.

    In other news, Leicester City, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United as well as Newcastle are apparently interested in Targett

    This is really bugging me, because yet again, it seems we’ve underpriced a player we’re selling.

    1. Guest avatar

      We have no identity, we seem unable to adapt our tactics based on our opposition, and we cant seem to string more than three passes together anymore, to me it looks like Gerrards lost the changing room.

      I saw an article on here a while ago asking how do you solve a problem like Villa, it’s quite simple really, make better decisions at the top.

      We have missed the boat on so many opportunities over the years which has come down to really poor judgement, from the managers we’ve hired to the players we haven’t bought, it’s actually farcical.

      The most recent being, I’d have taken Howe over Gerrard in a heartbeat.

      I’d have also signed Abraham over Watkins.

      If I could be bothered I’d write an entire list spanning the past decade at least.

      Awful decision making from the very top leads us languishing in the bottom half of the table constantly.

      1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
        The Ron Saunders Stand

        Howe or Potter mate.

    2. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
      The Ron Saunders Stand

      Badger McGinn always comes to as an honest player, a good pro so perhaps he just ain’t happy? And what could be the cause of that unhappiness 🤔

  8. Badger123 avatar
    Badger123

    I’d have taken either over Gerrard.
    He was just Purslow’s big name signing and was not what we needed at all, imo.
    But the decision has been made and like some say, it’s only fair he’s been given a chance to prove himself.

    And if it goes wrong, as Hitch says, Purslow, Lange and the whole lot have to go.
    Again.

    1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
      The Ron Saunders Stand

      I can’t argue, you’re spot on but if things don’t go well from the off next season I can see this going south at a rate of knots.

  9. Guest avatar

    A good manager would have gotten a tune out of those players, it’s as simple as that.

    Look at what Howe, Potter and Vieira are doing, with squads that are far inferior to ours, everytime someone says ‘its not his team, give him a full transfer window to get his own players in’ I want to bang my head repeatedly against a wall, it’s total nonsense and nothing more than excuses.

    1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
      The Ron Saunders Stand

      Mate 100% agree, it’s lame.
      Bad workman blames…

      1. Big Fat Ron avatar
        Big Fat Ron

        Have you seen Palace’s attack? I don’t think their squad is inferior to ours, to be honest. Brighton yes, but how many years continuity do they have with Potter? We’ll still finish above them, anyway. Oh and while I’m commenting on Palace, would we hate Vieira if he was our manager because he has ambitions to be Arsenal manager? Not a rhetorical question – please respond.

        1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
          The Ron Saunders Stand

          Asked if he had been contacted, Vieira said: “It’s flattering seeing your name everywhere but I am under contract with Nice.
          I have known since I arrived how lucky I am to be involved with this club’s project. I don’t have any intention or desire to go and look elsewhere.”
          Patrick Vieira Dec 2019
          Could you imagine those words coming out of SG’s mouth?

          1. Big Fat Ron avatar
            Big Fat Ron

            If Arsenal called, he wouldn’t need to look, and the desire and intention to go would suddenly manifest in the guise of ‘ambition.’

            1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
              The Ron Saunders Stand

              Why is ambition held as such a admirable quality?
              Aren’t Honour, integrity, selflessness, duty, honesty, loyalty equally valuable?

              1. Big Fat Ron avatar
                Big Fat Ron

                They’re far more valuable RSS, of course. But not in business. In business they’re filed under ‘Loser’. Searches for ‘I did my best’; ‘Why do I keep getting stabbed in the back?’; ‘why do I never get a promotion?’, and ‘why am I stuck in a dead-end job?’ will all bring those qualities out as reasons. Sad. But true.

      2. Big Fat Ron avatar
        Big Fat Ron

        They’re not his tools, RSS, they’re a guy’s named Smith, just got relegated from the PL.

        1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
          The Ron Saunders Stand

          And they weren’t his tools either BFR.

          1. Big Fat Ron avatar
            Big Fat Ron

            Good point. Conclusion: the club is badly run. Again.

  10. Guest avatar

    I can’t see him lasting long, I’d put money on him being sacked by December.

    I was a big fan of his as a player and I like him in interviews, and I do want him to succeed don’t get me wrong, but I just can’t see it.

    And as for all the Coutinho talk, he’ll be off to Newcastle in the summer, I’d bet my house on it, they are on the up, and they’ll pay the fee and wages, we won’t, simple as that.

    1. DSVilla avatar
      DSVilla

      Maybe. I’m not sure how I would feel if Coutinho went tbh. It’s interesting how easy it is to covet other managers as well. Vieras record is no better than Gerrard really. You could be right about Gerrard going by Xmas but I hope not. Maybe just wishful thinking on my part. I do think we will be a different proposition next season in terms of the mental strength of the team (driven by recruitment )

      I think we have the talent but not the toughness or game management skills. I also think Gerrard can see this.

      Next year we will be top 6 and all be millionaires Rodney .

      1. Guest avatar

        Hope so mate.

        Like I said, I really want him to succeed because I do like Gerrard, I just think he’s made some howlers so far, like persisting with a formation that isn’t working, dropping Chambers who was looking solid for Konsa who needed a bit of a break, not protecting the defence with a defensive midfielder when we play such high attacking full backs, Chambers could have played that role, really obvious stuff.

        1. DSVilla avatar
          DSVilla

          Chambers is an odd one. Not sure he would be a good DM but would be worth seeing it. I’m excited by Iroegbunum though. Has the physique and still so young. Definitely not Luiz position though.

          Konsa has been disappointing this season. Looked so in control last season but this one has been all over the place. Don’t think he and Mings get on looking at the body language but maybe I’m reading too much into it.

      2. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
        The Ron Saunders Stand

        Palace net spent around £110m less than us and Viera’s got a tune out them, I feel he’s done a sterling job
        Better than BD? I’d say so but next season will be a better yard stick.

        1. DSVilla avatar
          DSVilla

          Dunno about that. Palace have been in the division a few years more than is and I really don’t think Viera’s stats are significantly better than Gerrards BIL it happy for you to prove me wrong there

          1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
            The Ron Saunders Stand

            Aston Villa
            Total spend: €701m. Net spend: €424m.
            Crystal Palace
            Total spend: €449m. Net spend: €292m.

            1. DSVilla avatar
              DSVilla

              Not my point really. Net spend by both clubs is nothing to do with the current managers. It sort of depends on the period it covers too. We are where we are. I can’t blame Gerrard for it (entirely). If you think the club have mismanaged the investment (hard to argue against) then the problem is there and Gerrard is another victim of that.

              I think it will come good and also believe our current owners have the finances, will and acumen to make it happen. That said, how many teams can compete against City, Liverpool and Chelsea etc?
              Newcastle in the mix now plus the usual other teams. It’s a big ask

              1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
                The Ron Saunders Stand

                I believe that’s over a decade and I totally agree both managers had little to nothing to do with that spend but the point is Veira got more of a tune out of what he had at his disposal (imo).
                Whereas all I’m hearing from SG is people not buying into the program?
                Probably not the best way to rally the troops?

            1. Big Fat Ron avatar
              Big Fat Ron

              RSS, if they’re not ‘buying into the programme’, they can f*** off to Norwich where the program will suit them. I won’t go any further and take the piss out of ‘Dean and Craig’; no doubt they’re good men.

    2. DSVilla avatar
      DSVilla

      BTW I’ll take that bet Guest.

      1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
        The Ron Saunders Stand

        We never going to match them financially and at 29 this is his last big pay day.

  11. DSVilla avatar
    DSVilla

    Hey Badger I’m struggling to answer posts. It just seems to stick it at the time I post. Maybe it’s me (on iPhone btw) but it just means I look like I’m responding to a different post and makes no sense🤷‍♂️

    1. Badger123 avatar
      Badger123

      DS, it must be an issue to do with IOS.
      Unfortunately none of my family use Apple so I’ll struggle to replicate it.
      If I can, I’ll look into it.

    2. Hitchens60 avatar
      Hitchens60

      DS – I have the same problem when using my iPad. The delay between posting and the post appearing varies and can be up to several minutes. Don’t seem to get the same problem when using my phone (ancient android technology – bit like me 🙂 )

  12. DSVilla avatar
    DSVilla

    I had a few drinks last night hence my tons of posts. I hadn’t posted on here for a while as I just couldn’t raise the enthusiasm as we have been so poor. I do still read the posts though, just to see what everyone is thinking

    I know we don’t all agree on here (which is how it should be) but we all want the same thing. Maybe next season will be better. Keep the faith.

    1. Big Fat Ron avatar
      Big Fat Ron

      Keep posting, mate; I need some back-up on here, LOL. 😉

  13. Holte avatar

    I don’t think Gerrard would have taken the job without assurances of a big transfer chest. After all, when he took over we were in a terrible run of 5 defeats and heading towards the bottom 3. Purslow has said that he wanted him to take the 5 months in charge to review the current squad to see who he needed in the summer. I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets £100m incorporating player sales. A third of that could be on Coutinho although that’s dependable on clubs with bigger clout knocking on his door. I would be happier if he signed more European players so we don’t lose them when there are internationals in Africa or America.
    I think many of us think Gerrard is out of his depth but I am prepared to back him till around November which is the month they sacked Smith. If we are still in the bottom half by then we need to seriously consider his position.

    1. Hitchens60 avatar
      Hitchens60

      Fair comment Holte.

      Gerrard has five games left this season to show that he can get some consistent performances out of the players he has – after all they cost enough money!

      Surely the minimum expectation is two wins and a draw. Any result other than two losses for the Liverpool / City games would be a bonus (and may well decide the title race).

      1. DSVilla avatar
        DSVilla

        Think it’s more a case of the players have got 5 games left to prove they deserve to be in his plans for next season. If they want to coast to the summer hols then they will get shifted out or simply drop down the pecking order

        1. Big Fat Ron avatar
          Big Fat Ron

          Don’t buy Coutinho; he hasn’t earned it. I’d rather a lifetime supply of toilet-paper for anyone able to prove they’re a Villa fan – one less thing to worry about when the next pandemic arrives.

  14. William Pearson avatar
    William Pearson

    We have to remember player’s talk to agents and agents talk to players, Gerrard should not have said players are going!! Would you play your heart out even if he didn’t mean you. Funny how the standard fell on and around the time we dipped. Mcginn was our main man and you could see his determination in the game, then news broke a club like Man utd liked him saying remind them of Scoles.all this turn heads and as I said agents talk to player’s who to say that interest from that club been spoken about. I know some think he’s out of his comfort zone but you have to say Hes not the same player.

    1. Big Fat Ron avatar
      Big Fat Ron

      Bill, maybe the wee man is pooped from running round like a f****** hamster on a wheel for years.

  15. Big Fat Ron avatar
    Big Fat Ron

    Random comment. Well done Ronnie O’Sullivan. Any Villa player who has ‘loser syndrome’ should study this guy’s attitude. Of course, you can’t develop talent that you don’t have, but what you can do is have a ‘never say die, f*** you’ attitude, which doesn’t half help when playing elite sport. Love how he challenged that ref’ yesterday. “Don’t start” LOL.

  16. Hitchens60 avatar
    Hitchens60

    I don’t see the value in signing Coutinho at this stage in our development and with the players we have or may have next season.

    £33m plus (even if he reduces his wage demands) probably somewhere in the region of £20m per year over (say) a four year contract – total cost £113m. That might be the whole transfer budget and would be better spent in reinforcing the team in two or three positions.

    Just my opinion.

    1. DSVilla avatar
      DSVilla

      I think that’s a fair point Hitch. That’s around £400k per week wages. If that’s what he would get it has a FFP effect too, though I think I read somewhere that the rules might be being relaxed a bit.

      Reinforcing/improving 2 or 3 positions would probably cost more than £33m upfront though, particularly if we are looking at the quality we are supposed to be. I don’t know what we would have to pay in wages either. £100k is eye watering to us mere mortals but maybe top class players might think it’s not good enough.

      I’m sure the owners are scratching their heads over this issue. It will be interesting to see how it unfolds. As ever, I will enter next season with big expectations only to be gradually crushed by underwhelming performances

      1. Hitchens60 avatar
        Hitchens60

        DS – they are changing the rules for teams in Europe moving to a wage cap approach based on a % of turnover. They are also allowing owners to fund clubs as long as it’s not through debt – in other words through a share issue type approach such as NSWE have used at Villa.

        What seems unclear is in what form this will be adopted by the EPL. Of course this still gives a massive advantage to the ‘big’ clubs but, to me, it seems a more logical financial approach.

        Villa’s big problem is their surprisingly low turnover when compared with other EPL clubs hence the owners drive to increase it through (for example) expanding the stadium and increasing ticket revenues (we’re still one of the clubs with the lowest ticket prices in the EPL).

        The proposed ticket price increases have come in for some criticism. The proposal is for a 10% increase across the board, a reduction in concession rates and a simplification of the zonal seat pricing – so the lowest priced seat zones will move up a tier. As a result some ST holders could find themselves with a threefold increase – quite a few of which are probably long standing (and long suffering) ST holders. Get this wrong and the owners could well alienate long standing supporters and at the same time significantly the reduce the 22,000 ST waiting list which, in part, is driving both the stadium expansion and price increases!

        In regard to cost of players; from an accounting stand point it’s preferable to pay more in transfer fees (which can be written off over the length of the players contract) and less in average wages per player (see wage cap above).

        In my humble opinion, all the above strongly argues against signing Coutinho.

        Apologies for the long ramble!

        1. Hitchens60 avatar
          Hitchens60

          Correction – wage cap based on a % of revenue not turnover.

        2. Hitch – so say the EPL was to adopt the La Liga model then what would our salary cap for the coming season?

          1. Hitchens60 avatar
            Hitchens60

            RSS – I slightly simplified the new regs and didn’t get the wage cap quite right – I’m no expert on this so just what I’ve read.

            These new regulations are applicable to EUFA competitions so I assume the EPL would have to separately vote to adopt them.

            FFP is gone and Financial Sustainability Regulations are in.

            Seems to be two main elements – 1. Clubs can lose up to €60m over three years (double the current limit) plus a further €10m in the same period if they are deemed to be in ‘good financial health’. I believe there are tighter rules around debt and balance sheets (I did read that owners investments – rather than loans – would be taken into account). Also there are to quarterly checks to ensure payments are being made in a timely manner.
            2. Squad costs (not just wages) will be limited to 70% of revenue. Squad costs include players wages, transfer fees and and agents fees. This will be implemented over three years 90% in first, 80% in second etc. Rather more restrictive than I originally thought. I don’t know what the definition of revenue is but I assume it includes all income including that from transfers.

            EUFA dropped the title FFP because it suggested it was about developing a more level playing field – they’ve now admitted this is purely about financial well being and not about financial equality.in other words it favours the rich clubs and further limits the ability of any other club breaking into their dominance of the European game – is this a sop to the super league ambitions?

            I’m sure I’ve over simplified it but under these rules how will a club like Villa be able to compete in the transfer market without either selling players or substantially increasing income. I saw figures recently which were very s uprising and showed Villa were towards the bottom of the EPL table in terms of revenue and towards the top in terms of wages as a percentage of revenue. I’ll try and find them.

            You can see why Villa are making a big effort to develop young talent by acquiring as many of the best youngsters they can – either as potential first team players (Ramsey, Iroegbunam) or to sell at a profit (Chukweumeka)

            Notwithstanding, somehow NSWE also have to substantially increase our revenue streams if we have serious ambitions of top six finish.

            Apologies for the long post

            1. Badger123 avatar
              Badger123

              Hitch, I’m not sure where you’re getting the figures from re our revenue, but I’ll bet any period will cover our time in the Championship, meaning it’s no wonder the numbers look low.

              I’ve just seen a list where Palace, Brighton, Fulham, Stoke and even Bournemouth are worth more than the Villa.
              I don’t think any of those clubs would come anywhere near normally and we were just outside the top 20 in the world, the last rich list I saw.

              Point taken though, we’re definitely down the list of late, but I’d say that’s only temporary.
              And we definitely have to get the numbers up if we want to compete.

              1. Hitchens60 avatar
                Hitchens60

                Badger it was a Deloitte report if I remember correctly. I’ll try and find it but I was surprised at the numbers – you might be right about the period it covered though.

                I did think about writing an article about it but thought I’d probably just bore everyone 🙂

              2. Hitchens60 avatar
                Hitchens60

                Badger – Deloittes Report on football finances 2021 covering 2019/20 season.

                The two figures that surprised me were – Only Bournemouth had a lower revenue at £95m to Villa’s £110m and only Leicester had a worse wages to revenue ratio at 115% against Villa’s 99%.

                OK it was our first season back but you cannot run a business where all your revenue is spent on wages – no wonder we made thumping great losses.

                In Deloittes 2022 Football Money League (covering the 20/21 season) we have risen to 21st in Europe with revenue of £207m which is encouraging.

  17. William Pearson avatar
    William Pearson

    I would think if he’s going to stay he would be playing his heart out, bet you he’s gone at the end of the season,

    1. Sidforever avatar
      Sidforever

      Great points and views about Coutinho. The key is what will his wage demands be.

      If he was prepared to drop to £200k or less , then I would not be surprised to see him at Villa next year. However, if his demands are above and beyond, then I can’t see it happening.

      The only other point would be the divining on fee. Does this count as part of the transfer fee and can be written off overtime or is it wages?

      A high signing on fee to compensate formless wages could be a route forward.

      On a different note great article quoting SG on young players. “But in the last two or three weeks ( Tim Iroegbunam) he’s out-trained competitors in that position and I need to be true to my word. I said to everyone when I came through the door, if you earn the right to an opportunity I will be true to my word and I’ll back you up. I don’t care how old they are“.

      Surely this is the last nail in the coffin for: Chukwuemeka, Luiz and Sanson. I expect these 3 to be sold in the summer.

      1. Hitchens60 avatar
        Hitchens60

        That seems a reasonable argument Sid re: Coutinho’s wages although I still think he’s a luxury player we’re not set up to nor in a position to take full advantage. Buendia still for me.

        I don’t know for sure how a signing on fee would be dealt with but I guess it’s just wages in another form and would be treated as a cost (wages) rather than capital expenditure on an asset (transfer fee).

      2. Isn’t Chukwuemeka a free agent come the summer?

        1. DSVilla avatar
          DSVilla

          I think he is free to seek another club and pre sign but still a Villa player for another year unless we agree to sell him to recoup something. Shame to see him go but hard to see where he goes that is really ahead of us and gives him plenty of pitch time

  18. William Pearson avatar
    William Pearson

    Sid I read it interesting for once .

    1. Hitchens60 avatar
      Hitchens60

      Sid / Bill where did you see the article you refer to?

  19. Sidforever avatar
    Sidforever

    Hi Hitch

    Birmingham Mail online – hopefully the link below will take you there.

    https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/aston-villa-iroegbunam-steven-gerrard-23770812

    1. Hitchens60 avatar
      Hitchens60

      Thanks Sid – got it.

      It seems to me that SG isn’t concerned about publicly upsetting players (albeit unnamed) with his comments. It’s a difficult balancing act so I hope he knows what he’s doing!

      Sir Ron was a brilliant man manager getting the best out of all his players by knowing how to treat each one individually.

      SG seems to be using a one size fits all battering ram 🙂

      1. DSVilla avatar
        DSVilla

        Just been out for dinner with a Wolves season ticket holder. Asked him what has gone wrong there for them to fall away so badly. He says the manager publicly slated one of the players and the team have reacted badly to it. Maybe shows how easy it is to lose the dressing room and where the power lies.

  20. Holte avatar

    That’s right Hitch, Sir Ron in an interview said some players needed an arm round their shoulder and others responded to a kick up the backside. Have you watched the Birmingham Live podcast with Mortimer, Evans, Cowans and Morley? Definitely worth a watch if you haven’t. I felt sad about Sid who is clearly showing signs of dementia. It reminded me of how my dad was when he had it in the early stages. As for Morley, he clearly had a love / hate relationship with Sir Ron who knew that tough love got the best out of him.

    1. Hitchens60 avatar
      Hitchens60

      No, haven’t seen the podcast Holte – will try and find it.

      I remember Sir Ron saying about Morley – ‘If I didn’t kick him up the arse at least once a week, he would come into my office and ask me what he’d done wrong!’

      Brilliant.

  21. Badger123 avatar
    Badger123

    Hitch, write that article if you get chance.

    1. Hitchens60 avatar
      Hitchens60

      Badger – I’ll put something together for an article at the end of the season as I’ll need to do some more research and it’s probably more appropriate in the close season.

  22. OLL again avatar
    OLL again

    Oh dear, the Manchester Oil Company will not be adding their name to the list of English winners of the European Cup this year. “The Spanish Job” rivalled The Italian Job in snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

    1. The Ron Saunders Stand avatar
      The Ron Saunders Stand

      It’s just so upsetting.

  23. Bill Pearson avatar
    Bill Pearson

    My heart bleeds.

    1. Neil avatar

      Greenish getting slaughtered on social media after his bench warmer camio