It’s been a long while since I’ve been confident about a Villa game. I think it’s just that I’m scared that I’ll jinx things. Well, portraying things in a pesimistic light has certainly worked quite well lately.
This is one of my favourite fixtures, probably because Spurs are similar to us in having an ongoing history of usually trying to play the game in the right way.
Their start to the season is a bit of a mirror image to ours, in that they won their first three games against Man city, Wolves and Watford but have lost their last three games with a 9-1 goals against record.
I watched their game against Arsenal last weekend and they were frankly poor, with Arsenal running riot in the first half. Spurs did pull it back somewhat in the second half, but I got the feeling that Arsenal had taken their foot off and were going throught the motions.
Hence my confidence.
Squad news first and nothing has changed. Bailey and Sanson are out. Trezeguet and Davis are long termers.
On Spurs’ side, Stephen Bergwijn (who?) is a concern because of an ankle problem. Ryan Sessegnon is also out.
Not that I’m bothered much.
Who’s the threat in this game then?
Well, Kane is the obvious one, but I commented recently that I think there’s something not right about him. I don’t think he’s finished, but I also think his head isn’t right and he’s seriously off form. He scored a hattrick last night in the Europa cup, but the opposition wasn’t that great. Of course, it could have been enough to get him back in the groove and if anyone needs to change a recent record, there’s no better club to turn it around against than the Villa.
I think the bigger threat is Son, who I admire a lot. He’s bang in form and has 6 goals and 4 assists in his last eleven games. He’s also scored 3 of their 4 goals this season.
There’s a lot of interesting stats for this game and one is that Spurs have had fewer shots than any other team in the Prem this season.
You can read more stats here, if you want and they are actually worth a look, I’d suggest.
What to think then?
Well, we’re playing reasonably well and as Dean Smith has said, there’s more to come: an assessment I agree with.
If our strikers can start performing, I think we’re capable of worrying most teams. Without wanting to be over-confident I think we can win this.
Oh, I’ve been working in Norwich for the first part of the week. A two minute walk from Carrow road, as it happens.
And I got talking to one of the locals, where somehow football came into the chat.
He assured me that we had got a steal in Buendia, because he has everything in his locker. He said he’d probably take six months to settle and I wish I’d pushed him as to why he thought that, but I was too busy at the time.
I just said that I’d be happy to see a lot more of him. I wonder if he’ll feature tomorrow? Dean Smith made a very good point when he said it shows how things have changed when our record signing has hardly featured.
Back to the point in hand and even with our strikers not firing, we can score.
I like Son though and fancy them to get one through him.
Our defence should have enough to keep them at bay and I suspect they’ll resort to shots from distance, which Kane is pretty good at.
Now add in that we’ve recently turned our abysmal record in London around (see the previously mentioned stats link) and I think we’ve got enough to win this.
I’m going for a 2-1 win.
Comments
74 responses to “Spurs – Villa; Er, I’m worryingly confident”
Why is it that Smith doesn’t make changes till past the hour mark? It’s one thing that frustrates me about his management. Sometimes a team doesn’t work so whether it’s a formation or player change, a manager needs to make a call regardless of the time on the clock.
“As per SofaScore, Mings lost seven of his 16 duels, relinquished possession 17 times, was dribbled past twice and recorded a meagre 67% passing accuracy.”
(Bites tongue)
For me it’s been a brilliant day as i was in London to watch my daughter complete the London Marathon raising over 4k for a local charity. Apologies for being a proud Dad.
This is the Villa of old helping out an under performing team!
If we are going to play Watkins and Ings together then for me Watkins has to play wide with Ings in an ‘Old fashioned’ No. 9 role. He’s a box striker not a creator. But what do I know?
Nowt wrong with being a proud dad, Hitch.
What do you know?
Probably similar to Smith.
I’m really not convinced he wanted Ings at all.
2 up top is not the way he plays, rightly or wrongly.
I was at the game. I met 5 old faces from the original London Lions. It is a magnificent stadium with a great view.
Entirely typical Villa performance after a great win at Old Trafford. We started well (as you would expect) and they started nervously (ditto). For all our neat approach work it did not result in a shot on target.
Their first goal a simple drag back from the right wing. With all the markers concentrating on forwards near the 6 yard box the ball was played to Hojbjerg
20 yards from goal and 10 yards from a marker, who passed it accurately into the corner of the goal. It made a contrast with Watkins decision-making. If Watkins had it in mind when receiving the ball the last person he would pass to is Ings (who was occasionally in a similar position to the Spurs scorer), he would not need to change his recent performances. Management decision time: either play them as alternates or give Watkins a bollocking.
Another management decision needed about a midfield trio of Douglas Luiz, McGinn and Ramsey. They are too similar, they all try to run sideways out of midfield with the ball to buy time then hit it to the wings. Somebody has to do that but not all 3. Chukwuemeka should replace one of them. Decisions in 45 minutes please, when your game plan A has flopped change it by half time.
And finally new toy overdone – the set piece expert. Matty Cash is given the chance to take long throws on both sides of the pitch. This is an abomination – his side is enough. Crossing the pitch wrecks the defence for a counter attack.
Is this a wind-up? It must be, surely;
https://www.sportbible.com/football/football-aston-villa-captain-tyrone-mings-misses-the-team-bus-after-loss-to-tot-20211003
How can you possibly not realise your captain isn’t on the bus?
Haha 🙂
Gutted thought we could get a draw today but still think we are good enough for top 6
interesting article in the mail with mika Richards thought he took the piss out of us but that kinda changed my mid a bit
I’d take that with a massive pinch of salt. He should have retired early instead of milking the club for a fortune.
Kane and Son just caused us loads of problems yesterday. Kane dropping deep our defenders didn’t know when to go or stay and when they did go Kane played his little one touch passes and they were in behind. In hindsight i’m thinking Nakamba might have had a better impact in the DM role than Luiz but saying that we also missed a lot of chances/promising positions but either made the wrong decision or Spurs got blocks in. So i’m not too down beat, we fought back from 1 down which was nice to see we didn’t give up. There certainly is more to come from us but we saw this last year, every time we got close to the top 6, one or two bad results followed and that just kept us at a distance, we were only 7 points from 7th last season (last European spot) so if we improve on last season we do have a chance of Europe but I just feel this season its a step too far and we will end up 9th/10th/11th again (which is perfectly acceptable IMO). IF Bailey gets to full fitness and stays fit then that would improve us a great deal and I think top 6/7 is then achievable but I dont think he will personally.
A lot of fans are suddenly lowering their expectations with a mid table position as acceptable. There are fans who claim losing JG means a same position as last season would be impressive. So bearing that in mind and we do finish mid table, do we copy and paste the same reasons for the following season when either McGinn or Watkins leave because like JG they will be poached? Personally I still believe anything less than a European spot will be a disappointment. I don’t believe for one minute that the owners want to stagnate and be content with just being part of the premier league. They have spent all the JG money and much more before it. They will probably spend big in January if the right player became available and would push us closer to the top 4. Apart from the current top 4, there is no team we should look at and think we can’t beat or finish above. We should have beaten Spurs but blew the opportunity. When we equalised we should have finished them off but gifted them a goal. Smith must improve things and if he doesn’t then he will realise the harsh world of football management.
I totally agree Holte. His position will be reviewed at Xmas, I reckon and if we’re in a similar position as now, he might get the benefit of the doubt.
But if we haven’t achieved a higher position at the end of the season, he’ll be gone. I’ve no doubt about that.
That’s the thing Holte, player will come IF the team or club are geared up for getting honours, if we slip we will find it hard to convince a notable player to the club. We cannot lose players, we have good players coming through, our problem is how we manage a team!, I’m still out on Smith he makes me wonder if he really is the man for Villa. Christmas will tell me if he should stay or not, I still wonder why we had staff leave suddenly at the start of the season ,nobody letting the cat out of the bag on that. I have my thoughts.
Archer scores another hat-trick in the EFL Cup – Villa youngsters fight back from 2-0 down against Burton to win 4-2 and are the only unbeaten Premier U23’s in the competition. His second goal in particular was a brilliant piece of skill. This kid is a natural goal scorer.
We have some seriously good young talent at the club.
Ings and Watkins better perform or Archer will be on their tail 🙂
Highlights and goals here. https://www.avfc.co.uk/news/2021/october/05/burton-albion-0-0-aston-villa/
Blimey, Newcastle’s new owners have an estimated wealth of £320bn compared to Citehs £23bn! Does that mean the Geordies are going to blow everyone out of the water? It certainly makes it more difficult for Villa to break into the top 4. The only hope is that they keep Brucie in charge. 😏
Holte frightening that, buy a football club buy the best in the world ,easy money grabbing honours, what hope for smaller clubs now . None..
Time to support FFP then 🙂
Wouldn’t it be funny if they get relegated though! Wonder what will happen then? They have a dire team, its going to be a big struggle for them.
Interesting question here.
Does the kid Archer take the place of Davis and Wesley?
My money says big time, he does.
He knows where the net is compared to the other two, who imo are both nowhere near good enough;
https://www.footballinsider247.com/aston-villa-could-get-rid-of-senior-duo-after-what-phillips-saw-on-tuesday/
Agree with you Badger. Archer is now our third striker but Ings and Watkins need to be aware he’s on their heels.
I like Davis but he’s injury prone and doesn’t score enough goals. Wesley – well what can you say – a very expensive punt although the injury at Burnley never gave him a chance to prove himself. I genuinely hope he can rebuild his career but probably in a less competitive league than the EPL.
Davis pftt, the less said the better and I struggle to believe the money he’s supposed to be on (40k+ per week) given that he’s done nothing and for me, never even approached the promise he was supposed to have showed. A perfectly typical example of how our kids were massively over-rated in previous years.
Wesley, yes the injury was unfortunate, but I never rated him before that.
The money we paid for him as well, wow.
I very much doubt he was a Smith signing.
Badger – I find it hard to believe that he’s on £40k per week (Sport Trac say £45k compared with Luiz at around £32k and McGinn at £25k with Ings on £120k per week – complete nonsense!). As it’s unlikely that individual salaries are a matter of public record then I take this sort of info with a massive pinch of salt.
It seems that his contract runs to 2024 (which is probably accurate) then we need to get him fit and sell for whatever we can get. Hopefully Wesley will show good form in Belgium and we can also recoup some of our outlay next summer.
Having watched Archer, he’s a skilled footballer and gifted natural goal scorer with fast feet and must be the future for Villa – famous last words
Exactly Hitch, fast feet, a skill much needed in football just look at Marcella if that’s how you spell the name. Davis never looked the part for me but his strength won fans over. All this time given is a Pratish idea in football , if your good enough then play them. The way of managing is seeing the talent and useing it, I feel sorry for Barry he’s put out to dry and left wanting when he should be playing near the first team selection. This is why I think Smill fails in management he slow in his selections.
Hi Bill, I do understand why young players are loaned out but too many of ours are currently not getting game time; Barry bring a prime example. That should not be acceptable to the club and I wonder what ‘The Jedi’s’ role is as Loan Player Development Coach?
If Ipswich (in Barry’s case) secured the loan (in preference to Sunderland who also wanted him) by guaranteeing him more playing time then Villa should recall him and find him another club. Clearly Barry getting little or no playing time is a waste of time.
Archer, on the other hand, seems to have profited from his loan last season where he did get playing time.
Salah Hitch I meant…
Would 60,000 fans in Villa Park be too big a capacity or about right? Talk of a stadium development scheme done in stages beginning in the next couple of years and completed by 2031 latest. Personally I think it has taken too long with too many clubs already stealing a march with increased capacity or new stadiums. A waiting list of 18,000 for season tickets shows we should have acted sooner and a missed opportunity of empty stadiums during lockdown to do what Fulham managed. Certainly one major issue will be commuting to the ground. 42,000 makes it a gridlock around VP and I find it difficult to see what can be done to improve things with an extra 18,000 supporters. With Newcastle getting new owners I won’t be surprised to see their capacity bumped up considerably and I wouldn’t be surprised if they sort it before we do.
Holte – I don’t know the location of Newcastle’s stadium but VP is constrained by it’s position within a high density urban area and adjacent to Aston Park. Access by public transport is not brilliant so many choose to drive with it’s impact on the road system and those living adjacent to the stadium.
The obvious answer is to build a new stadium elsewhere, probably with a new sponsors name, but this has consistently met with opposition from the fans.
So, if we are going to stay at VP then we just have to accept that a substantial increase in capacity will take years to achieve entailing investment (by Villa) in public transport access and a substantial reduction in inconvenience to those living close to the stadium.
Not an easy problem to solve,
I’ve seen some good suggestions about this today.
A direct walkway to Witton station seems a good idea.
Hitch got it right in saying our transport infrastructure is useless. Top clubs have their own stations specifically aimed at the club, whereas we have antiquated crap.
Until you can get a bus every very few minutes, like in London, people will never use public transport, even if the council is going to go ahead with a 20mph default limit (which is what I heard on the news today).
I’ve always loved the idea of us having amongst the biggest capacity ground, as it’s an important sign that we’re the biggest fish in the Midlands at least.
But I do wonder if we could fill it regularly?
Man City get dog’s abuse for their crowds and I’ve always rated their fanbase as pretty loyal over the years and on a par with ours. And that’s with all their success.
We have to go for 60k, just because, imo.
I was gutted when the new Wembley didn’t have the symbolic 100k capacity.
I wonder if I place too much importance in the size of a full house?
I wonder whether it is the transport issues which have scuppered any plans to increase capacity so far. It was speculated that we would increase to 50,000 under the Lerner era nearly 15 years ago.
Interesting that McGinn continues to score regularly for Scotland and on another day could have had a hat trick against Israel. I don’t think we are utilising him to get the best out of his abilities.
Watching England who are less than impressive.
What I don’t understand is why Southgate took Grealish off for Saka. Grealish was the one England forward who was prepared to run at the Hungarian defence and created a number of chances. Since he departed we’ve created very little.
Am I missing something?
Yes, you certainly are Hitch.
It’s mainly the fact that Horseface is actually a donkey, who thinks Grealish is suddenly a better player after a few weeks at Citeh. If I was Smith, I’d be fuming at that comment.
The truth is I couldn’t give a toss about England, as I can almost guarantee that as soon as we meet a decent team, we’ll lose.
That said, I did half watch it and you’re right, we looked crap.
It’ll probably be because the players are tired (yawn).
Yeah I read that comment of Southgate’s.. Not just an insult to Smith but everyone at Villa. Probably still trying to prove to himself that Middlesbrough are a bigger team.
I see that I was not the only one questioning Southgate’s decision to take Grealish off with 30mins of the game still to go.
But it seems, in the eyes of the FA, he walks on water!
I see Mings has been opening his trap again about some Hungary fans kicking off.
I do wish he wouldn’t get involved.
It would also help if the police didn’t get their arses kicked,even though they were swinging batons.
They obviously don’t make them like they used to.
And it has to be empty stadiums for Hungary for a while.
And for Albania!
They resorted to throwing missiles at the players rather than just verbal insults
🙂
The only way to deal with unacceptable fan behaviour is to either dock the team points or just throw them out of the competition.
And it starts again! Smith saying players will be back by a certain date and then every week it gets pushed back. Leon Bailey another one. Now not fit for Wolves and hoping to be back for Arsenal. All because he hurt his muscle whilst kicking a ball, does it really take a month to recover from that. We MUST sort these injuries out ASAP it will derail our season.
It’s annoying, isn’t it?
And it really bugs me.
I read that Adam now beginning to think we have another sick list player, how do we get these players, are we some kind open door for hospital cases, how are we suppose to get a working team when players break down on a whim.